“[H]umans are not great at estimating the time required for cognitive endeavors. We’re wired to understand the demands of tangible efforts, like crafting a hand ax, or gathering edible plants.” -Cal Newport
[The best way to estimate the length of time required to complete a job has often been said to be to double what you think it will take and add a fudge factor. This will not give you an accurate estimate, but it ought to be closer than what you started at. The reason is stated above.]
![“[H]umans are not great at estimating the time required for cognitive endeavors. We’re wired to understand the demands of tangible efforts, like crafting a hand ax, or gathering edible plants.” -Cal Newport](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitj_vrWibYjvtmIztMX82YN9YhJRjwurm8LA3o6fseBGOny_1K92sBfduI2m3UglE76fgakREabB_z7TLhGDoYVgcJJiJW_IRBJHtjTyVhRL7UTOK7a3myfkbQqr5y4MSq43d_uss9MJmq83sgyO50Fq-DaFRB2jG1NBnlNANOSArKPocJXI7-Itm3zmI/w640-h360/2025-11-04.png)
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